← JEUX KINGDOM DTR STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
Horse and TaxesTier 1
at JEUX KINGDOM DTR STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 70.8% | 12 | 8-3-1 | 70.8% | 65.6% | 73.9% | +10.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 25.0% | 4 | 3-0-1 | 87.5% | 68.8% | 69.3% | +12.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 16.7% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 61.7% | +6.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.7% | -22.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.3% | +24.4 |
| Fire Suited | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.7% | +20.4 |
| Water Genbu | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 16 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 16 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Expose Darkness | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cleric Robes | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Evercurrent Raider | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Searing Rebuke | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Volda, Smolder's Spite | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cinder Geyser | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tether in Flames | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |